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Academy Awards Predictions Game

2004 Academy Awards Nominations Contest Results

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Best Picture (4 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Alexander     37 7.3%
The Aviator X X 199 39.0%
Bad Education     3 0.6%
Before Sunset     6 1.2%
Being Julia     5 1.0%
Beyond the Sea     9 1.8%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason     20 3.9%
Closer     35 6.9%
Collateral     24 4.7%
De-Lovely     19 3.7%
The Door In the Floor     3 0.6%
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind   X 117 22.9%
Fahrenheit 9/11     74 14.5%
Finding Neverland X X 135 26.5%
Friday Night Lights     7 1.4%
Garden State     29 5.7%
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban     53 10.4%
Hotel Rwanda     66 12.9%
House of Flying Daggers     15 2.9%
I Heart Huckabees     13 2.5%
In Good Company     2 0.4%
The Incredibles     53 10.4%
A Love Song For Bobby Long     3 0.6%
Kill Bill, Vol. 2     45 8.8%
Kinsey     28 5.5%
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events     33 6.5%
The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou     14 2.7%
The Manchurian Candidate     33 6.5%
Maria Full of Grace     9 1.8%
Million Dollar Baby X X 118 23.1%
Miracle     12 2.4%
The Motorcycle Diaries     16 3.1%
The Notebook     14 2.7%
The Passion of the Christ     142 27.8%
The Phantom of the Opera     48 9.4%
The Polar Express     38 7.5%
Ray X   114 22.4%
The Sea Inside     00.0%
Shaun of the Dead     9 1.8%
Shrek 2     47 9.2%
Sideways X X 108 21.2%
Spanglish     19 3.7%
Spartan     1 0.2%
Spiderman 2     76 14.9%
Stage Beauty     1 0.2%
The Terminal     40 7.8%
Vera Drake     8 1.6%
A Very Long Engagement     11 2.2%
We Don't Live Here Anymore     7 1.4%

Best Director (3 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Andrew Adamson, Kelly Asbury, and Conrad Vernon, Shrek 2     49 9.6%
Pedro Almodovar, Bad Education     12 2.4%
Alejandro Amenabar, The Sea Inside     9 1.8%
Wes Anderson, The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou     20 3.9%
Peter Berg, Friday Night Lights     11 2.2%
Brad Bird, The Incredibles     49 9.6%
Zach Braff, Garden State     35 6.9%
James L. Brooks, Spanglish     18 3.5%
Nick Cassavetes, The Notebook     38 7.5%
Bill Condon, Kinsey     36 7.1%
Alfonso Cuaron, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban     76 14.9%
John Curran, We Don't Live Here Anymore     7 1.4%
Jonathan Demme, The Manchurian Candidate     34 6.7%
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby X X 134 26.3%
Richard Eyre, Stage Beauty     3 0.6%
Marc Forster, Finding Neverland   X 104 20.4%
Shainee Gabel, A Love Song For Bobby Long     3 0.6%
Terry George, Hotel Rwanda     31 6.1%
Mel Gibson, The Passion of the Christ     156 30.6%
Michael Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind     85 16.7%
Taylor Hackford, Ray X   68 13.3%
Jean-Pierre Jeunet, A Very Long Engagement     16 3.1%
Beeban Kidron, Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason     14 2.7%
Mike Leigh, Vera Drake X   8 1.6%
Richard Linklater, Before Sunset     7 1.4%
David Mamet, Spartan     2 0.4%
Michael Mann, Collateral   X 27 5.3%
Joshua Marston, Maria Full of Grace     11 2.2%
Michael Moore, Fahrenheit 9/11     101 19.8%
Mike Nichols, Closer     52 10.2%
Gavin O'Connor, Miracle     3 0.6%
Alexander Payne, Sideways X X 78 15.3%
Sam Raimi, Spiderman 2     49 9.6%
David O. Russell, I Heart Huckabees     4 0.8%
Walter Salles, The Motorcycle Diaries     13 2.5%
Joel Schumacher, The Phantom of the Opera     48 9.4%
Martin Scorsese, The Aviator X X 150 29.4%
Brad Silberling, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events     23 4.5%
Kevin Spacey, Beyond the Sea     6 1.2%
Steven Spielberg, The Terminal     47 9.2%
Oliver Stone, Alexander     24 4.7%
Istvan Szabo, Being Julia     3 0.6%
Quentin Tarantino, Kill Bill, Vol. 2     69 13.5%
Paul Weitz, In Good Company     00.0%
Tod Williams, The Door In the Floor     5 1.0%
Irwin Winkler, De-Lovely     6 1.2%
Edgar Wright, Shaun of the Dead     4 0.8%
Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers     34 6.7%
Robert Zemeckis, The Polar Express     36 7.1%

Best Actor (2 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Kevin Bacon, The Woodsman     21 4.1%
Javier Bardem, The Sea Inside     29 5.7%
Gael Garcia Bernal, The Motorcycle Diaries     24 4.7%
Zach Braff, Garden State     24 4.7%
Jeff Bridges, The Door In the Floor     14 2.7%
Gerard Butler, The Phantom of the Opera     28 5.5%
David Carradine, Kill Bill, Vol. 2     28 5.5%
Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind   X 101 19.8%
Jim Carrey, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events     68 13.3%
Jim Caviezel, The Passion of the Christ     119 23.3%
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda X   81 15.9%
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways     10 2.0%
Tom Cruise, Collateral     45 8.8%
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland X X 173 33.9%
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator X   156 30.6%
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby X   25 4.9%
Colin Farrell, Alexander     22 4.3%
Jamie Foxx, Collateral     17 3.3%
Jamie Foxx, Ray X X 211 41.4%
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby     19 3.7%
Paul Giamatti, Sideways   X 61 12.0%
Ryan Gosling, The Notebook     12 2.4%
Topher Grace, In Good Company     2 0.4%
Richard Graham, Vera Drake     4 0.8%
Tom Hanks, The Terminal     83 16.3%
Ethan Hawke, Before Sunset     10 2.0%
Derek Hutchinson, Stage Beauty     00.0%
Jeremy Irons, Being Julia     6 1.2%
Takeshi Kaneshiro, House of Flying Daggers     17 3.3%
Val Kilmer, Spartan     5 1.0%
Kevin Kline, De-Lovely     13 2.5%
Jude Law, Alfie     20 3.9%
Jude Law, Closer     25 4.9%
Mark Letheren, Stage Beauty     1 0.2%
Tobey Maguire, Spiderman 2     52 10.2%
Bill Murray, The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou     24 4.7%
Liam Neeson, Kinsey   X 68 13.3%
Clive Owen, Closer     15 2.9%
Sean Penn, The Assassination of Richard Nixon     15 2.9%
Dennis Quaid, In Good Company     2 0.4%
Daniel Radcliffe, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban     40 7.8%
Mark Ruffalo, We Don't Live Here Anymore     3 0.6%
Kurt Russell, Miracle     11 2.2%
Adam Sandler, Spanglish     25 4.9%
Jason Schwartzman, I Heart Huckabees     10 2.0%
Kevin Spacey, Beyond the Sea     24 4.7%
Billy Bob Thornton, Friday Night Lights     17 3.3%
John Travolta, A Love Song For Bobby Long     3 0.6%
Denzel Washington, The Manchurian Candidate     54 10.6%
Owen Wilson, The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou     10 2.0%

Best Actress (3 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Kim Basinger, The Door In the Floor     14 2.7%
Annette Bening, Being Julia X X 86 16.9%
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator     75 14.7%
Cate Blanchett, The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou     11 2.2%
Kate Bosworth, Beyond the Sea     8 1.6%
Julie Christie, Finding Neverland     56 11.0%
Patricia Clarkson, Miracle     8 1.6%
Claire Danes, Stage Beauty     14 2.7%
Julie Delpy, Before Sunset   X 15 2.9%
Laura Dern, We Don't Live Here Anymore     13 2.5%
Kirsten Dunst, Spiderman 2     59 11.6%
Isabelle Huppert, I Heart Huckabees     14 2.7%
Scarlett Johansson, In Good Company     25 4.9%
Scarlett Johansson, A Love Song For Bobby Long     27 5.3%
Angelina Jolie, Alexander     38 7.5%
Ashley Judd, De-Lovely     26 5.1%
Nicole Kidman, Birth     41 8.0%
Regina King, Ray     34 6.7%
Tea Leoni, Spanglish     20 3.9%
Laura Linney, Kinsey     40 7.8%
Laura Linney, P.S.     5 1.0%
Virginia Madsen, Sideways     32 6.3%
Mia Maestro, The Motorcycle Diaries     10 2.0%
Rachel McAdams, The Notebook     24 4.7%
Maia Morgenstern, The Passion of the Christ     48 9.4%
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace X   39 7.6%
Sandra Oh, Sideways     14 2.7%
Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda     16 3.1%
Natalie Portman, Closer     50 9.8%
Natalie Portman, Garden State     52 10.2%
Julia Roberts, Closer     47 9.2%
Emmy Rossum, The Phantom of the Opera     47 9.2%
Belen Rueda, The Sea Inside     00.0%
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake X X 72 14.1%
Meryl Streep, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events     30 5.9%
Meryl Streep, The Manchurian Candidate     48 9.4%
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby X X 104 20.4%
Audrey Tautou, A Very Long Engagement     15 2.9%
Uma Thurman, Kill Bill, Vol. 2     88 17.3%
Paz Vega, Spanglish     18 3.5%
Yenny Paola Vega, Maria Full of Grace     6 1.2%
Kerry Washington, Ray     7 1.4%
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind X   120 23.5%
Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland   X 61 12.0%
Renee Zellweger, Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason     46 9.0%
Catherine Zeta-Jones, The Terminal     40 7.8%
Zhang Ziyi, House of Flying Daggers     23 4.5%

Best Animated Feature (2 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Clifford's Really Big Movie     3 0.6%
Disney's Teacher's Pet     2 0.4%
Ghost in the Shell 2: Innocence     41 8.0%
Home on the Range     6 1.2%
The Incredibles X X 311 61.0%
The Legend of Buddha     5 1.0%
The Polar Express   X 235 46.1%
Shrek 2 X X 324 63.5%
Shark Tale X   78 15.3%
Sky Blue     4 0.8%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie     49 9.6%

Best Visual Effects (1 correct guess)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Alexander     16 3.1%
Alien Vs. Predator     26 5.1%
The Aviator   X 53 10.4%
The Bourne Supremacy     15 2.9%
The Butterfly Effect     15 2.9%
Collateral     7 1.4%
Dawn of the Dead     4 0.8%
The Day After Tomorrow   X 95 18.6%
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind     34 6.7%
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban X   115 22.5%
Hellboy     16 3.1%
House of Flying Daggers     37 7.3%
I, Robot X   72 14.1%
The Incredibles     43 8.4%
Kill Bill, Vol. 2     29 5.7%
King Arthur     5 1.0%
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events     41 8.0%
The Passion of the Christ     34 6.7%
The Phantom of the Opera     18 3.5%
The Polar Express     49 9.6%
The Punisher     1 0.2%
Shaun of the Dead     6 1.2%
Shrek 2     23 4.5%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow     119 23.3%
Spiderman 2 X X 124 24.3%
Troy     22 4.3%
Van Helsing     25 4.9%
The Village     7 1.4%


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