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Academy Awards Predictions Game

2009 Academy Awards Nominations Contest Results

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Best Picture (8 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
(500) Days of Summer     16 13.1%
2012     5 4.1%
Adventureland     1 0.8%
Amelia     1 0.8%
Angels & Demons     3 2.5%
Avatar X X 85 69.7%
The Blind Side X   19 15.6%
The Box     00.0%
Bright Star     00.0%
Broken Embraces     1 0.8%
Brothers     5 4.1%
Cheri     00.0%
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs     2 1.6%
Coco Before Chanel     2 1.6%
Coraline     4 3.3%
Crazy Heart     7 5.7%
District 9 X   34 27.9%
Duplicity     2 1.6%
An Education X X 49 40.2%
Everybody's Fine     00.0%
Fantastic Mr. Fox     8 6.6%
The Girlfriend Experience     00.0%
The Hangover     9 7.4%
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     8 6.6%
The Hurt Locker X X 68 55.7%
I Love You, Man     2 1.6%
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus     7 5.7%
In the Loop     00.0%
The Informant!     1 0.8%
Inglourious Basterds X X 78 63.9%
The International     1 0.8%
Invictus   X 68 55.7%
It's Complicated     3 2.5%
Jennifer's Body     00.0%
Julia     00.0%
Julie & Julia     11 9.0%
Knowing     00.0%
The Last Station     1 0.8%
The Lovely Bones     11 9.0%
Me and Orson Welles     2 1.6%
The Men Who Stare At Goats     6 4.9%
The Messenger     7 5.7%
Moon     7 5.7%
My Sister's Keeper     7 5.7%
New Moon     4 3.3%
Nine   X 21 17.2%
Orphan     00.0%
Paranormal Activity     6 4.9%
Precious X X 66 54.1%
The Princess and the Frog     3 2.5%
The Private Lives of Pippa Lee     1 0.8%
A Prophet     1 0.8%
The Proposal     2 1.6%
Public Enemies     7 5.7%
Red Cliff     1 0.8%
The Road     9 7.4%
Seraphine     00.0%
A Serious Man X X 38 31.1%
Sherlock Holmes     7 5.7%
Sin Nombre     00.0%
A Single Man     15 12.3%
The Soloist     7 5.7%
Star Trek     14 11.5%
State of Play     1 0.8%
The Stoning of Soraya M     00.0%
Summer Hours     00.0%
The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3     3 2.5%
Terminator Salvation     2 1.6%
That Evening Sun     00.0%
This Is It     4 3.3%
The Time Traveler's Wife     2 1.6%
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     4 3.3%
Up X X 64 52.5%
Up In the Air X X 69 56.6%
Watchmen     6 4.9%
Whatever Works     00.0%
Where the Wild Things Are     7 5.7%
Whip It!     1 0.8%
The White Ribbon     5 4.1%
X-Men Origins: Wolverine     1 0.8%
The Young Victoria     1 0.8%
Zombieland     2 1.6%

Best Director (5 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Marc Webb, (500) Days of Summer     1 0.8%
Roland Emmerich, 2012     4 3.3%
Greg Mottola, Adventureland     1 0.8%
Mira Nair, Amelia     00.0%
Ron Howard, Angels & Demons     2 1.6%
James Cameron, Avatar X X 78 63.9%
John Lee Hancock, The Blind Side     2 1.6%
Richard Kelly, The Box     00.0%
Jane Campion, Bright Star     00.0%
Pedro Almodovar, Broken Embraces     2 1.6%
Jim Sheridan, Brothers     00.0%
Stephen Frears, Cheri     1 0.8%
Phil Lord and Chris Miller, Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs     00.0%
Anne Fontaine, Coco Before Chanel     00.0%
Henry Selick, Coraline     3 2.5%
Scott Cooper, Crazy Heart     1 0.8%
Neill Blomkamp, District 9     14 11.5%
Tony Gilroy, Duplicity     00.0%
Lone Scherfig, An Education     1 0.8%
Kirk Jones, Everybody's Fine     00.0%
Wes Anderson, Fantastic Mr. Fox     4 3.3%
Steven Soderbergh, The Girlfriend Experience     00.0%
Todd Phillips, The Hangover     00.0%
David Yates, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     3 2.5%
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker X X 59 48.4%
John Hamburg, I Love You, Man     1 0.8%
Terry Gilliam, The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus     8 6.6%
Armando Iannucci, In the Loop     1 0.8%
Steven Soderbergh, The Informant!     2 1.6%
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds X X 72 59.0%
Tom Tykwer, The International     00.0%
Clint Eastwood, Invictus     34 27.9%
Nancy Meyers, It's Complicated     00.0%
Karyn Kusama, Jennifer's Body     00.0%
Erick Zonca, Julia     00.0%
Nora Ephron, Julie & Julia     3 2.5%
Alex Proyas, Knowing     00.0%
Michael Hoffman, The Last Station     00.0%
Peter Jackson, The Lovely Bones     5 4.1%
Richard Linklater, Me and Orson Welles     00.0%
Grant Heslov, The Men Who Stare At Goats     00.0%
Oren Moverman, The Messenger     1 0.8%
Duncan Jones, Moon     4 3.3%
Nick Cassavetes, My Sister's Keeper     2 1.6%
Chris Weitz, New Moon     1 0.8%
Rob Marshall, Nine     5 4.1%
Jaume Collet-Serra, Orphan     00.0%
Oren Peli, Paranormal Activity     00.0%
Lee Daniels, Precious X X 40 32.8%
Ron Clements and John Musker, The Princess and the Frog     1 0.8%
Rebecca Miller, The Private Lives of Pippa Lee     00.0%
Jacques Audiard, A Prophet     00.0%
Anne Fletcher, The Proposal     00.0%
Michael Mann, Public Enemies     1 0.8%
John Woo, Red Cliff     00.0%
John Hillcoat, The Road     00.0%
Martin Provost, Seraphine     00.0%
Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man     4 3.3%
Guy Ritchie, Sherlock Holmes     1 0.8%
Cary Fukunaga, Sin Nombre     00.0%
Tom Ford, A Single Man     1 0.8%
Joe Wright, The Soloist     1 0.8%
J.J. Abrams, Star Trek     6 4.9%
Kevin Macdonald, State of Play     1 0.8%
Cyrus Nowrasteh, The Stoning of Soraya M     00.0%
Olivier Assayas, Summer Hours     00.0%
Tony Scott, The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3     2 1.6%
McG, Terminator Salvation     00.0%
Scott Teems, That Evening Sun     00.0%
Kenny Ortega, This Is It     1 0.8%
Robert Schwentke, The Time Traveler's Wife     2 1.6%
Michael Bay, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     2 1.6%
Pete Docter, Up     1 0.8%
Jason Reitman, Up In the Air X X 58 47.5%
Zack Snyder, Watchmen     2 1.6%
Woody Allen, Whatever Works     1 0.8%
Spike Jonze, Where the Wild Things Are     00.0%
Drew Barrymore, Whip It!     1 0.8%
Michael Haneke, The White Ribbon     1 0.8%
Gavin Hood, X-Men Origins: Wolverine     00.0%
Jean-Marc Vallee, The Young Victoria     00.0%
Ruben Fleischer, Zombieland     00.0%

Best Actor (5 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Alec Baldwin, My Sister's Keeper     5 4.1%
Christian Bale, Public Enemies     2 1.6%
Christian Bale, Terminator Salvation     00.0%
Eric Bana, The Time Traveler's Wife     3 2.5%
Mike Binder, The Private Lives of Pippa Lee     00.0%
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart X X 56 45.9%
Nicolas Cage, Knowing     2 1.6%
Peter Capaldi, In the Loop     00.0%
George Clooney, The Men Who Stare At Goats     6 4.9%
George Clooney, Up In the Air X X 69 56.6%
Bradley Cooper, The Hangover     1 0.8%
Sharlto Copley, District 9     5 4.1%
Russell Crowe, State of Play     2 1.6%
Billy Crudup, Watchmen     3 2.5%
John Cusack, 2012     2 1.6%
Matt Damon, Invictus     8 6.6%
Matt Damon, The Informant!     8 6.6%
Larry David, Whatever Works     00.0%
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine     15 12.3%
Johnny Depp, Public Enemies     7 5.7%
Zac Efron, Me and Orson Welles     00.0%
Jesse Eisenberg, Adventureland     00.0%
Colin Firth, A Single Man X X 56 45.9%
Ben Foster, The Messenger     1 0.8%
Megan Fox, Jennifer's Body     1 0.8%
Jamie Foxx, The Soloist     5 4.1%
Morgan Freeman, Invictus X X 59 48.4%
Rupert Friend, The Young Victoria     00.0%
Michael Gambon, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     2 1.6%
Richard Gere, Amelia     00.0%
Paul Giamatti, The Last Station     00.0%
Matthew Goode, Watchmen     1 0.8%
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days of Summer     1 0.8%
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brothers     3 2.5%
Jackie Earle Haley, Watchmen     1 0.8%
Tom Hanks, Angels & Demons     1 0.8%
Woody Harrelson, Zombieland     00.0%
Hal Holbrook, That Evening Sun     00.0%
Hugh Jackman, X-Men Origins: Wolverine     1 0.8%
Michael Jackson, This Is It     2 1.6%
Robert Downey Jr., Sherlock Holmes     9 7.4%
Robert Downey Jr., The Soloist     1 0.8%
Shia LaBeouf, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     00.0%
Frank Langella, The Box     1 0.8%
Taylor Lautner, New Moon     1 0.8%
Jude Law, Sherlock Holmes     1 0.8%
Heath Ledger, The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus     6 4.9%
Tobey Maguire, Brothers     2 1.6%
James Marsden, The Box     00.0%
James McAvoy, The Last Station     2 1.6%
Tim McGraw, The Blind Side     1 0.8%
Ewan McGregor, The Men Who Stare At Goats     2 1.6%
Christian McKay, Me and Orson Welles     00.0%
Alfred Molina, An Education     00.0%
Viggo Mortensen, The Road     8 6.6%
Robert De Niro, Everybody's Fine     1 0.8%
Clive Owen, Duplicity     1 0.8%
Clive Owen, The International     2 1.6%
Robert Pattinson, New Moon     1 0.8%
Chris Pine, Star Trek     00.0%
Brad Pitt, Inglourious Basterds     9 7.4%
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station     00.0%
Zachary Quinto, Star Trek     3 2.5%
Daniel Radcliffe, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     4 3.3%
Max Records, Where the Wild Things Are     00.0%
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker X X 42 34.4%
Ryan Reynolds, The Proposal     00.0%
Sam Rockwell, Moon     4 3.3%
Paul Rudd, I Love You, Man     00.0%
Peter Sarsgaard, An Education     1 0.8%
Peter Sarsgaard, Orphan     00.0%
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man     5 4.1%
John Travolta, The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3     3 2.5%
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones     4 3.3%
Mark Wahlberg, The Lovely Bones     1 0.8%
Denzel Washington, The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3     3 2.5%
Ben Whishaw, Bright Star     00.0%
Sam Worthington, Avatar     5 4.1%

Best Actress (5 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
Amy Adams, Julie & Julia     8 6.6%
Shohreh Aghdashloo, The Stoning of Soraya M     1 0.8%
Malin Akerman, Watchmen     2 1.6%
Drew Barrymore, Everybody's Fine     1 0.8%
Kate Beckinsale, Everybody's Fine     00.0%
Juliette Binoche, Summer Hours     00.0%
Moon Bloodgood, Terminator Salvation     1 0.8%
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria     22 18.0%
Abigail Breslin, My Sister's Keeper     6 4.9%
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side X X 59 48.4%
Sandra Bullock, The Proposal     5 4.1%
Abbie Cornish, Bright Star     5 4.1%
Marion Cotillard, Nine     5 4.1%
Marion Cotillard, Public Enemies     4 3.3%
Penelope Cruz, Broken Embraces     2 1.6%
Penelope Cruz, Nine     2 1.6%
Claire Danes, Me and Orson Welles     00.0%
Judi Dench, Nine     5 4.1%
Zooey Deschanel, (500) Days of Summer     7 5.7%
Cameron Diaz, My Sister's Keeper     4 3.3%
Cameron Diaz, The Box     00.0%
Vera Farmiga, Orphan     00.0%
Vera Farmiga, Up In the Air     9 7.4%
Kellsey Ford, Adventureland     00.0%
Megan Fox, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     3 2.5%
Sasha Grey, The Girlfriend Experience     1 0.8%
Carla Gugino, Watchmen     1 0.8%
Rashida Jones, I Love You, Man     1 0.8%
Catherine Keener, The Soloist     3 2.5%
Nicole Kidman, Nine     5 4.1%
Melanie Laurent, Inglourious Basterds     10 8.2%
Jena Malone, The Messenger     00.0%
Rachel McAdams, Sherlock Holmes     1 0.8%
Rachel McAdams, State of Play     00.0%
Rachel McAdams, The Time Traveler's Wife     8 6.6%
Helen Mirren, The Last Station X X 34 27.9%
Mo'Nique, Precious     9 7.4%
Julianne Moore, A Single Man     6 4.9%
Yolande Moreau, Seraphine     1 0.8%
Carey Mulligan, An Education X X 48 39.3%
Ellen Page, Whip It!     2 1.6%
Amanda Peet, 2012     1 0.8%
Robin Wright Penn, The Private Lives of Pippa Lee     1 0.8%
Michelle Pfeiffer, Cheri     00.0%
Natalie Portman, Brothers     4 3.3%
Julia Roberts, Duplicity     2 1.6%
Saoirse Ronan, The Lovely Bones     10 8.2%
Zoe Saldana, Avatar     6 4.9%
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious X X 48 39.3%
Kristen Stewart, New Moon     2 1.6%
Emma Stone, Zombieland     1 0.8%
Meryl Streep, It's Complicated     7 5.7%
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia X X 61 50.0%
Hilary Swank, Amelia     4 3.3%
Tilda Swinton, Julia     4 3.3%
Audrey Tautou, Coco Before Chanel     6 4.9%
Sofia Vassilieva, My Sister's Keeper     1 0.8%
Naomi Watts, The International     00.0%
Rachel Weisz, The Lovely Bones     5 4.1%
Evan Rachel Wood, Whatever Works     00.0%

Best Animated Feature (4 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
9     17 13.9%
$9.99     1 0.8%
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel     2 1.6%
Astro Boy     2 1.6%
Battle For Terra     2 1.6%
A Christmas Carol     14 11.5%
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs   X 41 33.6%
Coraline X X 75 61.5%
Dolphin: Story of a Dreamer     1 0.8%
Fantastic Mr. Fox X X 70 57.4%
G-Force     6 4.9%
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaur     6 4.9%
Mary and Max     1 0.8%
The Missing Lynx     1 0.8%
Monsters Vs. Aliens     5 4.1%
Planet 51     5 4.1%
Ponyo     38 31.1%
The Princess and the Frog X X 66 54.1%
The Secret of Kells X   1 0.8%
Tinkerbell and the Lost Treasure     1 0.8%
A Town Called Panic     1 0.8%
Up X X 86 70.5%

Best Visual Effects (3 correct guesses)

Candidate Winners Guesses # Who Guessed This
2012     19 15.6%
Angels & Demons     1 0.8%
Avatar X X 82 67.2%
A Christmas Carol     3 2.5%
Coraline     4 3.3%
District 9 X X 38 31.1%
G-Force     00.0%
G.I. Joe: Rise of the Cobra     2 1.6%
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     14 11.5%
The Hurt Locker     3 2.5%
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus     5 4.1%
Inglourious Basterds     2 1.6%
Knowing     00.0%
Land of the Lost     00.0%
The Lovely Bones     5 4.1%
New Moon     00.0%
Night At the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian     3 2.5%
Ninja Assassin     1 0.8%
Push     00.0%
Sherlock Holmes     3 2.5%
Shorts     00.0%
Star Trek X X 38 31.1%
Terminator Salvation     5 4.1%
The Time Traveler's Wife     1 0.8%
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     20 16.4%
Underworld: Rise of the Lycans     00.0%
Up     4 3.3%
Watchmen     6 4.9%
Where the Wild Things Are     9 7.4%
X-Men Origins: Wolverine     1 0.8%

How many nominations will the film with the most nominations get? (1 correct guess)

Candidate Winner Guess # Who Guessed This
1     00.0%
2     00.0%
3     2 1.6%
4     3 2.5%
5     7 5.7%
6     7 5.7%
7     8 6.6%
8     18 14.8%
9 X X 16 13.1%
10     12 9.8%
11     13 10.7%
12     1 0.8%
13     1 0.8%
14     00.0%
15     00.0%
16     00.0%
17     1 0.8%
18     00.0%
19     00.0%
20     00.0%

How many nominations will the film with the second-most nominations get? (0 correct guesses)

Candidate Winner Guess # Who Guessed This
1     00.0%
2     4 3.3%
3     9 7.4%
4     5 4.1%
5     13 10.7%
6     17 13.9%
7     20 16.4%
8   X 13 10.7%
9 X   5 4.1%
10     2 1.6%
11     00.0%
12     00.0%
13     1 0.8%
14     00.0%
15     00.0%
16     00.0%
17     00.0%
18     00.0%
19     00.0%
20     00.0%

How many nominations will the film with the third-most nominations get? (0 correct guesses)

Candidate Winner Guess # Who Guessed This
1     5 4.1%
2     8 6.6%
3     12 9.8%
4     17 13.9%
5     18 14.8%
6     14 11.5%
7   X 9 7.4%
8 X   3 2.5%
9     2 1.6%
10     1 0.8%
11     00.0%
12     00.0%
13     00.0%
14     00.0%
15     00.0%
16     00.0%
17     00.0%
18     00.0%
19     00.0%
20     00.0%


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